Thursday 1 November 2007

Opening up

Russia is to invite a at most 400 foreign experts, with just 70 from the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe's election monitoring arm, to observe the forthcoming State Duma elections. As well as thus slashing by 2/3rds the 1,165 observers present at the previous parliamentary poll of 2003, Russia will also itself define the "monitoring modalities" prescribing what the observers can and cannot do. This is major a set-back for those hoping for at least the semblance of an open contest as Russia goes to the polls first on December 2 and then again to elect a new President on March 2 next year.

Clearly, circumscribing election observation is a tactic in need of justification if Vladimir Putin is still to profess himself a "true democrat". According to Alexei Borodavkin, the Russian Permanent Representative to the OSCE, Russia's gripes are threefold. Firstly,
"instead of giving technical assessments of how the elections were held, ODIHR observers often issue political assessments, which sometimes adversely affect the internal political stability of the countries where monitoring is being conducted."
Secondly,
"the monitoring of elections is held mainly in countries east of Vienna. That is, the focus is on post-Soviet countries. Although there are plenty of violations of election rules in countries west of Vienna as well."
Finally,
"the selection of heads of observer missions is absolutely nontransparent. This is being done behind closed doors by ODIHR itself. Never once throughout the whole history of ODIHR has its observer mission been led by a representative, say, of a CIS country."


The first allegation only has substance in contexts where the idea of the "open" society itself is contested, precisely those locations where external monitoring is at its most neccesary. To get "closed" societies (Russia itself remains "not free" in Freedom House's annual report of global rights and liberties) to at least continue to sign up to ODIHR's ideals, it is vital for the same standards to be applied to all, namely by firmly addressing allegations two and three.

Thankfully, ODHIR already are. Contrary to Borodavkin's assertion, observation missions can indeed be led by CIS nationals, such as Vadim Zhdanovich of the Russian Federation who currently heads the heads the monitoring team of the forthcoming parliamentary elections in Croatia. While election monitoring in the 1990s concentrated wholly on transistion countries, ODHIR has broadened its horizons over the past few years, sending observers to elections in America in 2004 and 2006 and this year to Belgium and Switzerland, to name but a few.

Nevertheless, more could be done, particularly by the member states. The UK, for example, has still to implement Paragraph 8 of the 1990 OSCE Copenhagen Document and fully throw open its electoral processes to foreign and non-partisan observation, with current legislation restricting access to polling stations on election day. Resources are obviously short, with monitor expenses met by the sending state. But with painful choices to make in other areas of the open world's relationship with Russia, an issue soluble in part by simply throwing money at it is surely one to be embraced.

The challenge is for supposedly open societies to positively embrace foreign scrutiny. The benefits, like Borodavkin's criticisms, are threefold. Firstly, open societies are of course not above election shenanigans themselves, with, for example, proven electoral fraud in Birmingham, England, in 2004. Secondly, they are nevertheless the standard against which closed societies must be assessed. Finally, and most importantly, the demanding the highest standards from all countries denies closed societies cover when the spotlight of election monitoring is cast upon them. Russia's grounds for limiting foreign observance of its forthcoming elections are weak, but that doesn't mean the open world wouldn't benefit from a more even application of its own rules.

3 comments:

Ranulf de Gernons said...

Does the Russian permanent representative to the OSCE see Vienna as the frontier between east and west, then (at least in European terms)? OSCE sounds just your sort of thing, Spoons

Unknown said...

Alright Ben, I will share my cynical views on this matter with the "blogosphere" at large. I will also never again use the term "blogosphere," as it is unforgivingly pretentious as well as meaningless.

Essentially, the very fact that Russia is allowing any observers at all is somewhat surprising to me. I believe they are doing so only in order not to alienate absolutely the entire West, and so as not to lose all bargaining power at the OSCE. As you may know, they are the driving force behind Kazakhstan's bid for the chairmanship of the OSCE in 2009, a bid which thus far seems to be supported by all but the US, UK, Canada, and perhaps the Czechs.

The Kazakh bid, the cutting back on election observers, and pretty much all Russian behaviour at the OSCE these days can be easily explained: Russia does not like the OSCE, and has no interest in seeing the OSCE function as a strong, independent institution. It sees the OSCE as dominated by Western interests - or more accurately, as an extension of Western interests. The OSCE field missions, all of which are "East of Vienna", serve only to further Russia's fears as being outposts of Western (eg, American) influence in areas that are traditionally within the Russian sphere.

This has been Russia's stance for a while now, and perhaps most bluntly and most eloquently formulated in Putin's speech to the Munich Security Conference last February (will try to find the text online for you, a good read). Russia is constantly trying to reign in the independent institutions (ODIHR in particular), and just two weeks ago released a draft decision that would effectively subordinate that institution - which includes all election monitoring as well as human rights supervision - to the Permanent Council, where, of course, consensus-based decision-making means Russia and its CSTO cronies would have veto. (if you are interested, I can send you a copy of that draft decision - it stands zero chance of passing, of course, but it is a tactical and symbolic move).

Election observation missions bring nothing to Russia, other than Western "praise" (eg, condescension) if it goes well and condemnations if it does not. Moreover, they are humiliating. The message is that if you need to have your elections supervised by an international body, you are not mature enough to supervise them yourself. Since Russia is busying itself these days with rebuilding itself as a powerhouse, as a pole co-equal to the West (read the US) in the new multipolar era it is constantly touting, accepting the humiliation of outside observers is a major blow.

All of which is to say: Russia, and Putin, have a view of the world which consists entirely of Realpolitik. Good old zero-sum security games. ODIHR and the OSCE were allowed, in the tragedy of the 1990s, to become tools of Western hegemony; now they must be rolled back for Russia to regain what it lost.

Of course I do not entirely agree with this view, but given the OSCE's consensus-based decisions, do not see it as having much of a future beyond the talking-shop it originated as.

tatsi said...

Oh, boys (Ben and David) I am impressed by both your speaches:)